<html dir="ltr">
<head>
<meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=iso-8859-1">
<style type="text/css" id="owaParaStyle"></style>
</head>
<body fpstyle="1" ocsi="0">
<div style="direction: ltr;font-family: Tahoma;color: #000000;font-size: 10pt;">
<div style="font-family: Times New Roman; color: #000000; font-size: 16px">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:#000000; font-size:10pt">
<div style="font-family:Times New Roman; color:#000000; font-size:16px">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:#000000; font-size:10pt">
<div style="font-family:Times New Roman; color:#000000; font-size:16px">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:#000000; font-size:10pt">
<div style="font-family:Times New Roman; color:#000000; font-size:16px">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:#000000; font-size:10pt">
<div style="font-family:Times New Roman; color:#000000; font-size:16px">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:#000000; font-size:10pt">
<div style="font-family:Times New Roman; color:#000000; font-size:16px">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:#000000; font-size:10pt">
<div style="font-family:Times New Roman; color:#000000; font-size:16px">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:#000000; font-size:10pt">
<div style="font-family:Times New Roman; color:#000000; font-size:16px">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:#000000; font-size:10pt">
<div style="font-family:Times New Roman; color:#000000; font-size:16px">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:#000000; font-size:10pt">
<div style="font-family:Times New Roman; color:#000000; font-size:16px">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:#000000; font-size:10pt">
<div style="font-family:Times New Roman; color:#000000; font-size:16px">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:#000000; font-size:10pt">
<div style="font-family:Times New Roman; color:#000000; font-size:16px">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:#000000; font-size:10pt">
<div style="font-family:"Times New Roman"; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div style="font-family:"Times New Roman"; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div style="font-family:"Times New Roman"; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div style="font-family:"Times New Roman"; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div style="font-family:"Times New Roman"; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div style="font-family:"Times New Roman"; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div style="font-family:"Times New Roman"; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div style="font-family:"Times New Roman"; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div style="font-family:"Times New Roman"; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div style="font-family:"Times New Roman"; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div style="font-family:"Times New Roman"; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div style="font-family:"Times New Roman"; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div>
<div style="direction:ltr; font-family:Tahoma; color:rgb(0,0,0)">
<div>
<div>
<div style="font-family:Tahoma">
<div style="font-family:Tahoma">
<div style="font-family:Tahoma">
<div style="font-family:Tahoma">
<div style="font-family:"Segoe UI",Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif"><span id="docs-internal-guid-86d1851e-9600-8d8e-733d-c5fa57d08efb"><span id="docs-internal-guid-9e838874-b9fd-c26f-7292-368ffed344e3">
<div><span id="docs-internal-guid-fe54441f-1f12-be1f-a664-27f8f57cce08">
<div style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size:11pt; font-family:Cambria; background-color:rgb(255,255,255); vertical-align:baseline; white-space:pre-wrap"><span id="docs-internal-guid-748f50ce-f689-54d2-9b41-5a3c77a9e486"><span id="docs-internal-guid-44741882-f788-0e32-c8e8-2b168c3681ef"><span id="docs-internal-guid-d5bed97d-3f42-6ae7-0034-104ccf7b3897"><span id="docs-internal-guid-498729f8-679a-0a20-28d6-2d9b55698270"><span id="docs-internal-guid-51391753-8bcf-ef16-57fc-e1b7affdfc5f"><span id="docs-internal-guid-db845e25-afe6-b7c2-c36d-863305aac084">
<p dir="ltr" style="line-height: 1.38; margin-top: 0pt; margin-bottom: 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 28pt; color: rgb(192, 0, 0); background-color: transparent; font-weight: 700; vertical-align: baseline;">Spring 2018 Colloquium</span></p>
<p dir="ltr" style="line-height: 1.38; margin-top: 0pt; margin-bottom: 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 16pt; background-color: transparent; font-weight: 700; vertical-align: baseline;">Department of Physics & Astronomy, TAMU-Commerce</span></p>
<p dir="ltr" style="line-height: 1.38; margin-top: 0pt; margin-bottom: 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 16pt; color: rgb(192, 0, 0); background-color: transparent; font-weight: 700; vertical-align: baseline;">April 12, Thursday, 4-5 PM in Science Building 127</span></p>
<p dir="ltr" style="line-height: 1.38; margin-top: 0pt; margin-bottom: 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 14pt; background-color: transparent; vertical-align: baseline;">(coffee and cookies will be served at 3:50 PM)</span></p>
<p dir="ltr" style="line-height: 1.38; margin-top: 0pt; margin-bottom: 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 14pt; color: rgb(0, 176, 80); background-color: transparent; font-weight: 700; vertical-align: baseline;">Bayesian Statistics in Physics and Astronomy</span></p>
<p dir="ltr" style="line-height: 1.38; margin-top: 0pt; margin-bottom: 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 18pt; color: rgb(0, 0, 255); background-color: transparent; font-weight: 700; vertical-align: baseline;">An Introduction to Bayesian Statistical Analysis
</span><span style="font-size: 18pt; color: rgb(0, 0, 255); background-color: transparent; font-weight: 700; vertical-align: baseline;"><br class="kix-line-break">
</span><span style="font-size: 18pt; color: rgb(0, 0, 255); background-color: transparent; font-weight: 700; vertical-align: baseline;">with an Application to Insurance Claims Data</span><span style="font-size: 18pt; color: rgb(0, 0, 255); background-color: transparent; font-weight: 700; vertical-align: baseline;"><br class="kix-line-break">
</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; background-color: transparent; font-weight: 700; vertical-align: baseline;">Dr. Thomas Boucher</span></p>
<p dir="ltr" style="line-height: 1.38; margin-top: 0pt; margin-bottom: 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 14pt; color: rgb(11, 83, 148); background-color: transparent; font-weight: 700; vertical-align: baseline;">Mathematics,</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; background-color: transparent; font-weight: 700; vertical-align: baseline;">
</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; color: rgb(11, 83, 148); background-color: transparent; font-weight: 700; vertical-align: baseline;">Texas A&M University-Commerce</span></p>
<br>
<img src="https://lh4.googleusercontent.com/a52jqplvIjqnhK1Rm2DlDWZiXYbjAewsZrmCeQlVWWbUr3j6ntfCOdbQEXQQmLO79Olvo8-P9dKTDXc-Zu8ER5b-hrI45WydqAPZMY9jZUKCoUH_Zc4JeonEc2JwitlppMR9iECa" width="134" height="183" style="border: none; transform: rotate(0.00rad); -webkit-transform: rotate(0.00rad);">
<p dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt;text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: 12pt; vertical-align: baseline;">Dr. Boucher earned BS (1996) and MS (1998) degrees in Mathematics at the University of Massachusetts-Lowell, and a Ph.D. degree (2003) in Statistics at Texas A&M University in College Station. His Ph.D.
research topic was on nonlinear time series. He worked as a post-doc at Virginia Tech from 2003-2005 in a similar area and branching out into general state Markov chain theory. From 2005-2012, Dr. Boucher was an assistant professor/associate professor and
Director of the Center for Statistical Consulting at Plymouth State University in Plymouth, NH. In 2012 Dr. Boucher became an assistant (soon to be associate) professor of Mathematics at Texas A&M-Commerce. More information about Dr. Boucher can be found at
</span><a href="http://faculty.tamuc.edu/tboucher/" style="text-decoration-line: none;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(17, 85, 204); text-decoration-line: underline; vertical-align: baseline;">http://faculty.tamuc.edu/tboucher/</span></a></p>
<br>
<p dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:4pt;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; background-color: transparent; font-weight: 700; vertical-align: baseline;">Abstract</span></p>
<p dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt;text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: 12pt; vertical-align: baseline;">The talk will give a brief overview of Bayesian statistical inference and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods before proceeding to an application to insurance claims data, involving the use of MCMC
methods to model a zero-inflated Poisson distribution for the claims data.</span></p>
<br>
<br>
<br>
<br>
<br>
<br>
</span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span></span></span></span></span></span></div>
</span></div>
</span></span></div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</body>
</html>